Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 3.0 — a solid dog. Fewer wins, but each pays triple; the variance and drawdowns are noticeably longer.
profit
-4327u
ROI
-90.1%
win rate
2%
bets
481
drawdown
432.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 3.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1000 | -100% | 100% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 481 | 2% | -4327 | -90.1% | 432.7% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -14042 | -92.3% | 1404.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -19880 | -92.4% | 1988% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -24175 | -92.7% | 2417.5% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 2303 | 2% | -24810 | -92.6% | 2481% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 2315 | 2% | -24861 | -92.3% | 2486.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 481, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.01.25 | Yakult Brothers – AVULUS | Yakult Brothers | 13.00 | 3 | lost | -3 | -3327 |
| 26.01.25 | Wildcard Gaming – Tundra Esports | Wildcard Gaming | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3324 |
| 26.01.25 | Team Liquid – PARIVISION | Team Liquid | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3314 |
| 25.01.25 | Shopify Rebellion – AVULUS | Shopify Rebellion | 15.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3304 |
| 25.01.25 | Xtreme Gaming – Chimera Esports | Chimera Esports | 6.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3294 |
| 25.01.25 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 8.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3284 |
| 24.01.25 | Aurora Gaming – Heroic | Aurora Gaming | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3274 |
| 24.01.25 | Tundra Esports – Shopify Rebellion | Shopify Rebellion | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3264 |
| 24.01.25 | Zero Tenacity – 4Pirates | 4Pirates | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3254 |
| 24.01.25 | Team Liquid – Talon Esports | Talon Esports | 4.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3244 |
| 24.01.25 | Tundra Esports – Yakult Brothers | Tundra Esports | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3234 |
| 24.01.25 | Xtreme Gaming – Wildcard Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3224 |
| 23.01.25 | MOUZ – LFG | LFG | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3214 |
| 23.01.25 | LFG – Quantum Team | LFG | 5.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3204 |
| 23.01.25 | Lesnaya Bratva – MOUZ | Lesnaya Bratva | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3194 |
| 23.01.25 | Into The Breach – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3184 |
| 23.01.25 | Passion UA – One Move | One Move | 5.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3174 |
| 22.01.25 | Into The Breach – Lesnaya Bratva | Lesnaya Bratva | 3.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3164 |
| 22.01.25 | One Move – Night Pulse | One Move | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3154 |
| 21.01.25 | MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming | MOUZ | 3.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3144 |
| 21.01.25 | Shopify Rebellion – Wildcard Gaming | Wildcard Gaming | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3134 |
| 20.01.25 | Zero Tenacity – xanbl | xanbl | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3124 |
| 20.01.25 | Into The Breach – TT Team | TT Team | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3114 |
| 20.01.25 | Nigma Galaxy – Winter Bear | Winter Bear | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3104 |
| 20.01.25 | Team Tidebound – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3094 |
| 19.01.25 | Nigma Galaxy – Chimera Esports | Nigma Galaxy | 14.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3084 |
| 19.01.25 | Night Pulse – Team Secret | Team Secret | 3.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3074 |
| 19.01.25 | Gaimin Gladiators – AVULUS | Gaimin Gladiators | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3064 |
| 19.01.25 | Team Tidebound – Xtreme Gaming | Team Tidebound | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3054 |
| 19.01.25 | Passion UA – Team Secret | Passion UA | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3044 |
| 19.01.25 | Yakult Brothers – the goal of all life is death | the goal of all life is death | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3034 |
| 19.01.25 | Titan – Spiky Gaming | Spiky Gaming | 6.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3024 |
| 19.01.25 | Team Cyberding – Dead Denasty | Dead Denasty | 3.10 | 10 | won | +21 | -3014 |
| 19.01.25 | Heroic – M80 | M80 | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3035 |
| 18.01.25 | Natus Vincere Junior – OG | OG | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3025 |
| 18.01.25 | One Move – 9Pandas | One Move | 6.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3015 |
| 18.01.25 | Talon Esports – Team Kukuys | Team Kukuys | 7.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -3005 |
| 18.01.25 | Xtreme Gaming – the goal of all life is death | the goal of all life is death | 9.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2995 |
| 17.01.25 | Team Hryvnia – MOUZ | Team Hryvnia | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2985 |
| 17.01.25 | Team Spirit – One Move | One Move | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2975 |
| 17.01.25 | L1ga Team – 9Pandas | L1ga Team | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2965 |
| 17.01.25 | Virtus.pro – L1ga Team | Virtus.pro | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2955 |
| 17.01.25 | BOOM Esports – Talon Esports | BOOM Esports | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2945 |
| 17.01.25 | 9Pandas – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 11.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2935 |
| 17.01.25 | Aurora Gaming – Team Kukuys | Aurora Gaming | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2925 |
| 17.01.25 | The MongolZ – InterActive Philippines | InterActive Philippines | 4.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2915 |
| 17.01.25 | Execration – Team Kukuys | Execration | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2905 |
| 16.01.25 | Team Spirit – 1w Team | 1w Team | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2895 |
| 16.01.25 | Zero Tenacity – Winter Bear | Winter Bear | 6.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2885 |
| 16.01.25 | BOOM Esports – The MongolZ | The MongolZ | 3.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2875 |
| 16.01.25 | Quantum Team – Team Hryvnia | Team Hryvnia | 3.20 | 10 | won | +22 | -2865 |
| 16.01.25 | Team Spirit – Ban9PivoSamogon | Ban9PivoSamogon | 13.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2887 |
| 16.01.25 | Execration – The MongolZ | Execration | 4.80 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2877 |
| 15.01.25 | Natus Vincere Junior – Ban9PivoSamogon | Natus Vincere Junior | 5.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2867 |
| 15.01.25 | Nigma Galaxy – OG | Nigma Galaxy | 7.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2857 |
| 15.01.25 | L1ga Team – Ban9PivoSamogon | L1ga Team | 12.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2847 |
| 15.01.25 | Zero Tenacity – OG | Zero Tenacity | 3.50 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2837 |
| 15.01.25 | Team Kukuys – Anlacky | Anlacky | 4.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2827 |
| 15.01.25 | BOOM Esports – Execration | Execration | 10.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2817 |
| 14.01.25 | M80 – Perro Negro | Perro Negro | 6.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | -2807 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.