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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-6687u
ROI
-98.5%
win rate
0%
bets
399
drawdown
668.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-96u
period 24top-up-246u
period 23top-up-291u
period 22top-up-372u
period 21top-up-332u
period 20top-up-291u
period 19top-up-261u
period 18top-up-276u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1070-100%107%Select
1% of bankroll3990%-3619-98.5%361.9%Select
Flat (10 units)3990%-3927-98.4%392.7%Select
2% of bankroll3990%-6687-98.5%668.7%Select
5% of bankroll3990%-13371-98.6%1337.1%Select
Quarter Kelly3980%-17861-98.6%1786.1%Select
10% of bankroll3990%-19299-98.9%1929.9%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 399, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0018lost-18-5687
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0019lost-19-5668
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0019lost-19-5649
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0020lost-20-5630
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0020lost-20-5611
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0015lost-15-5591
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0016lost-16-5575
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0016lost-16-5560
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0016lost-16-5544
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0017lost-17-5527
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0017lost-17-5510
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0017lost-17-5493
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0018lost-18-5476
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8018lost-18-5458
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0018lost-18-5440
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0019lost-19-5422
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0019lost-19-5403
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0020lost-20-5384
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0020lost-20-5364
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.8014lost-14-5344
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.0015lost-15-5330
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0015lost-15-5315
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.0015lost-15-5300
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterInterActive Philippines10.0016lost-16-5285
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsCarstensz Esports13.0016lost-16-5269
19.06.26summer bear – Power Rangerssummer bear13.0016lost-16-5253
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsFlame Esports12.0017lost-17-5236
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0017lost-17-5220
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamGior Dota Team12.0017lost-17-5203
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity11.0018lost-18-5185
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.0018lost-18-5168
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXExecration13.0018lost-18-5150
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXCarstensz Esports12.0019lost-19-5131
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersL1ga Team13.0019lost-19-5112
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereNatus Vincere13.0020lost-20-5093
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubTpaBoMaH Club6.6020lost-20-5074
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGOG15.0013lost-13-5054
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubNS Club5.3013lost-13-5041
27.05.26OG – Team YandexOG15.0013lost-13-5028
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION15.0014lost-14-5014
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0014lost-14-5001
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0014lost-14-4987
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamRecrent Team12.0014lost-14-4973
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamMiposhka Team10.0015lost-15-4958
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsTundra Esports11.0015lost-15-4943
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion8.5015lost-15-4928
16.05.26Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0016lost-16-4913
15.05.26Virtus.pro – Team SpiritVirtus.pro15.0016lost-16-4897
14.05.26Natus Vincere – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team10.0016lost-16-4881
12.05.26Two Move – Power RangersTwo Move12.0017lost-17-4865
11.05.26Team Lynx – Two MoveTeam Lynx12.0017lost-17-4848
10.05.261w Team – PARIVISION1w Team15.0017lost-17-4831
09.05.261w Team – REKONIXREKONIX15.0018lost-18-4814
08.05.26Nigma Galaxy – PlayTimeNigma Galaxy15.0018lost-18-4796
04.05.26Zero Tenacity – REKONIXREKONIX12.0018lost-18-4778
03.05.26MOUZ – Yellow SubmarineMOUZ14.0019lost-19-4760
02.05.26Vici Gaming – Roar GamingRoar Gaming12.0019lost-19-4741
01.05.26Vici Gaming – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning13.0020lost-20-4722
01.05.26Yakult Brothers – Mideng DreamerMideng Dreamer12.0020lost-20-4702
30.04.26Power Rangers – South America RejectsPower Rangers15.0014lost-14-4682
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.