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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-9857u
ROI
-96.5%
win rate
0%
bets
1021
drawdown
985.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-220u
period 24top-up-310u
period 23top-up-350u
period 22top-up-480u
period 21top-up-530u
period 20top-up-350u
period 19top-up-470u
period 18top-up-540u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll10210%-8070-96.7%807%Select
Flat (10 units)10210%-9857-96.5%985.7%Selected
2% of bankroll10210%-13419-96.9%1341.9%Select
5% of bankroll10210%-20997-97.6%2099.7%Select
Quarter Kelly10200%-23594-98.3%2359.4%Select
10% of bankroll10210%-24038-98.7%2403.8%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1021, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0010lost-10-8857
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0010lost-10-8847
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0010lost-10-8837
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0010lost-10-8827
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0010lost-10-8817
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3010lost-10-8807
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-8797
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-8787
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-8777
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-8767
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0010lost-10-8757
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0010lost-10-8747
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0010lost-10-8737
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0010lost-10-8727
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0010lost-10-8717
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0010lost-10-8707
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0010lost-10-8697
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0010lost-10-8687
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0010lost-10-8677
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-8667
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-8657
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-8647
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-8637
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-8627
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.5010lost-10-8617
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0010lost-10-8607
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0010lost-10-8597
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-8587
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0010lost-10-8577
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-8567
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0010lost-10-8557
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-8547
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0010lost-10-8537
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0010lost-10-8527
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5010lost-10-8517
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0010lost-10-8507
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0010lost-10-8497
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-8487
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0010lost-10-8477
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-8467
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0010lost-10-8457
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0010lost-10-8447
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0010lost-10-8437
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8010lost-10-8427
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0010lost-10-8417
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0010lost-10-8407
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0010lost-10-8397
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0010lost-10-8387
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0010lost-10-8377
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-8367
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0010lost-10-8357
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w TeamInner Circle15.0010lost-10-8347
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamALOHADANCE Team10.0010lost-10-8337
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.8010lost-10-8327
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.0010lost-10-8317
26.06.26Enjoy Boys – L1ga TeamEnjoy Boys14.0010lost-10-8307
25.06.26VooDooSh Team – Recrent TeamRecrent Team8.5010lost-10-8297
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0010lost-10-8287
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamRecrent Team10.0010lost-10-8277
23.06.26Team Spirit – Enjoy BoysEnjoy Boys14.0010lost-10-8267
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.