?

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-20997u
ROI
-97.6%
win rate
0%
bets
1021
drawdown
2099.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-676u
period 24top-up-796u
period 23top-up-839u
period 22top-up-915u
period 21top-up-934u
period 20top-up-834u
period 19top-up-910u
period 18top-up-937u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll10210%-8070-96.7%807%Select
Flat (10 units)10210%-9857-96.5%985.7%Select
2% of bankroll10210%-13419-96.9%1341.9%Select
5% of bankroll10210%-20997-97.6%2099.7%Select
Quarter Kelly10200%-23594-98.3%2359.4%Select
10% of bankroll10210%-24038-98.7%2403.8%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1021, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0017lost-17-19997
20.08.26PARIVISION BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0018lost-18-19980
16.08.26LGD Gaming Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0019lost-19-19962
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0020lost-20-19944
15.08.26PARIVISION Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0021lost-21-19924
15.08.261w Team Team Liquid1w Team5.3022lost-22-19903
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0023lost-23-19881
15.08.26Team Falcons GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0024lost-24-19858
13.08.26Aurora Gaming GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0026lost-26-19833
13.08.26PARIVISION Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0027lost-27-19808
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0028lost-28-19781
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0030lost-30-19752
07.08.26Zero Tenacity No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0032lost-32-19722
05.08.26Team Liquid 1w Team1w Team15.0033lost-33-19691
04.08.26Yakult Brothers Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0035lost-35-19658
03.08.26Team Liquid Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0037lost-37-19623
03.08.26GLYPH PlayTimeGLYPH14.0039lost-39-19586
02.08.26Team Liquid LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0041lost-41-19547
02.08.26Vici Gaming OGOG13.0043lost-43-19506
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team Stray TeamStray Team13.0045lost-45-19464
01.08.26Daxak Team Team aviceDaxak Team11.0048lost-48-19418
01.08.26Midas Club Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0050lost-50-19371
31.07.26BETBOOM Team Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0011lost-11-19321
31.07.26Yakult Brothers Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0011lost-11-19310
31.07.26L1ga Team REKONIXL1ga Team8.5012lost-12-19299
31.07.26LGD Gaming GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0013lost-13-19287
31.07.26Amaru Gaming Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0013lost-13-19274
30.07.26Team Falcons Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0014lost-14-19261
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0015lost-15-19247
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0015lost-15-19233
29.07.26Rostik Team TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0016lost-16-19217
29.07.26NS Team Stray TeamNS Team13.0017lost-17-19201
28.07.26YBN Team Team aviceYBN Team13.0018lost-18-19184
28.07.26NS Team TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0019lost-19-19166
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5020lost-20-19147
20.07.26Level UP Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0021lost-21-19128
20.07.26Team Lynx PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0022lost-22-19107
19.07.26Vici Gaming Team YandexVici Gaming15.0023lost-23-19085
18.07.26Team Yandex PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0024lost-24-19062
18.07.26BETBOOM Team Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0026lost-26-19037
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0027lost-27-19011
14.07.26Team Liquid Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0028lost-28-18984
12.07.261w Team Team Yandex1w Team15.0030lost-30-18956
11.07.26PlayTime Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8032lost-32-18926
10.07.26REKONIX Team SpiritREKONIX15.0033lost-33-18895
10.07.26Team Nemesis Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0035lost-35-18861
08.07.26Team Yandex Inner CircleInner Circle15.0037lost-37-18826
08.07.26Vici Gaming PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0039lost-39-18790
08.07.26Team Spirit Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0041lost-41-18751
08.07.26GamerLegion Xtreme GamingGamerLegion15.0043lost-43-18710
08.07.26Poor Rangers BETBOOM TeamPoor Rangers15.0045lost-45-18667
07.07.26Inner Circle 1w TeamInner Circle15.0048lost-48-18622
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team By_Owl TeamALOHADANCE Team10.0050lost-50-18575
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy Yellow SubmarineYellow Submarine5.808lost-8-18525
28.06.26By_Owl Team ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team13.009lost-9-18516
26.06.26Enjoy Boys L1ga TeamEnjoy Boys14.009lost-9-18507
25.06.26VooDooSh Team Recrent TeamRecrent Team8.5010lost-10-18498
25.06.26Team Spirit Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0010lost-10-18488
24.06.26Recrent Team Stray TeamRecrent Team10.0011lost-11-18478
23.06.26Team Spirit Enjoy BoysEnjoy Boys14.0012lost-12-18467
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.