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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-13492u
ROI
-96.7%
win rate
0%
bets
2074
drawdown
1349.2%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

1% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-370u
period 24top-up-356u
period 23top-up-472u
period 22top-up-698u
period 21top-up-587u
period 20top-up-583u
period 19top-up-603u
period 18top-up-691u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)4280%-4200-98.1%420%Select
1% of bankroll20740%-13492-96.7%1349.2%Select
2% of bankroll20740%-19384-96.7%1938.4%Select
5% of bankroll20740%-24016-96.6%2401.6%Select
Quarter Kelly20720%-24766-95.7%2476.6%Select
10% of bankroll20740%-24824-95.9%2482.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2074, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.006lost-6-12492
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.006lost-6-12486
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.006lost-6-12480
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.007lost-7-12473
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.007lost-7-12467
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.007lost-7-12460
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.007lost-7-12453
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.307lost-7-12447
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.007lost-7-12440
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.007lost-7-12433
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.007lost-7-12426
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.007lost-7-12419
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.007lost-7-12412
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.807lost-7-12405
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.007lost-7-12397
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.007lost-7-12390
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.007lost-7-12383
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.008lost-8-12375
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.008lost-8-12368
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.008lost-8-12360
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.008lost-8-12352
08.08.26Power Rangers – Team SyntaxTeam Syntax12.008lost-8-12344
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingTeam Jenz14.008lost-8-12337
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.008lost-8-12329
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersIlbirs eSports6.608lost-8-12321
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.008lost-8-12313
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers15.008lost-8-12304
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team13.008lost-8-12296
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Liquid13.008lost-8-12288
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.009lost-9-12279
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience13.009lost-9-12271
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.009lost-9-12262
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.009lost-9-12254
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w TeamLGD Gaming15.009lost-9-12245
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.009lost-9-12236
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.009lost-9-12227
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.009lost-9-12218
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.009lost-9-12209
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w Team1w Team15.009lost-9-12200
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceYellow Submarine14.009lost-9-12190
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamStray Team13.0010lost-10-12181
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity6.0010lost-10-12171
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-12162
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0010lost-10-12152
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingLGD Gaming14.0010lost-10-12142
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0010lost-10-12132
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.007lost-7-12122
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.007lost-7-12116
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHEnjoy Boys14.007lost-7-12109
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.507lost-7-12103
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.007lost-7-12096
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.007lost-7-12089
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.007lost-7-12082
30.07.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team12.007lost-7-12075
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.007lost-7-12068
30.07.26Level UP – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity12.007lost-7-12061
30.07.26Zero Tenacity – PuckChampPuckChamp9.007lost-7-12054
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.007lost-7-12047
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.007lost-7-12040
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.007lost-7-12032
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.