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Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the clear underdog at odds ≥ 5.0. Rare but big wins with long losing streaks and deep drawdowns in between. Only for a large bankroll and patience.

profit
-4200u
ROI
-98.1%
win rate
0%
bets
428
drawdown
420%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)4280%-4200-98.1%420%Selected
1% of bankroll20730%-13523-97%1352.3%Select
2% of bankroll20730%-19409-97%1940.9%Select
5% of bankroll20730%-24018-96.8%2401.8%Select
Quarter Kelly20710%-24765-95.7%2476.5%Select
10% of bankroll20730%-24823-95.9%2482.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 428, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
29.01.25Tundra Esports – Team SpiritTeam Spirit6.6010lost-10-3200
28.01.25BETBOOM Team – Talon EsportsTalon Esports10.0010lost-10-3190
28.01.259Pandas – 4Pirates4Pirates11.0010lost-10-3180
28.01.25Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION8.5010lost-10-3170
27.01.25Gaimin Gladiators – Tundra EsportsGaimin Gladiators14.0010lost-10-3160
27.01.259Pandas – MOUZ9Pandas13.0010lost-10-3150
27.01.25Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0010lost-10-3140
27.01.25Zero Tenacity – JigglinZero Tenacity12.0010lost-10-3130
26.01.25Aurora Gaming – Xtreme GamingAurora Gaming14.0010lost-10-3120
26.01.25Yakult Brothers – AVULUSYakult Brothers13.0010lost-10-3110
26.01.25Wildcard Gaming – Tundra EsportsWildcard Gaming14.0010lost-10-3100
26.01.25Team Liquid – PARIVISIONTeam Liquid11.0010lost-10-3090
25.01.25Shopify Rebellion – AVULUSShopify Rebellion15.0010lost-10-3080
25.01.25Xtreme Gaming – Chimera EsportsChimera Esports6.3010lost-10-3070
25.01.25BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid8.5010lost-10-3060
24.01.25Aurora Gaming – HeroicAurora Gaming13.0010lost-10-3050
24.01.25Tundra Esports – Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion14.0010lost-10-3040
24.01.25Zero Tenacity – 4Pirates4Pirates12.0010lost-10-3030
24.01.25Tundra Esports – Yakult BrothersTundra Esports14.0010lost-10-3020
24.01.25Xtreme Gaming – Wildcard GamingXtreme Gaming14.0010lost-10-3010
23.01.25MOUZ – LFGLFG12.0010lost-10-3000
23.01.25LFG – Quantum TeamLFG5.3010lost-10-2990
23.01.25Lesnaya Bratva – MOUZLesnaya Bratva13.0010lost-10-2980
23.01.25Into The Breach – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity12.0010lost-10-2970
23.01.25Passion UA – One MoveOne Move5.3010lost-10-2960
22.01.25One Move – Night PulseOne Move7.5010lost-10-2950
21.01.25Shopify Rebellion – Wildcard GamingWildcard Gaming9.0010lost-10-2940
20.01.25Zero Tenacity – xanblxanbl12.0010lost-10-2930
20.01.25Into The Breach – TT TeamTT Team12.0010lost-10-2920
20.01.25Nigma Galaxy – Winter BearWinter Bear12.0010lost-10-2910
20.01.25Team Tidebound – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers9.0010lost-10-2900
19.01.25Nigma Galaxy – Chimera EsportsNigma Galaxy14.0010lost-10-2890
19.01.25Gaimin Gladiators – AVULUSGaimin Gladiators7.5010lost-10-2880
19.01.25Team Tidebound – Xtreme GamingTeam Tidebound12.0010lost-10-2870
19.01.25Passion UA – Team SecretPassion UA13.0010lost-10-2860
19.01.25Yakult Brothers – the goal of all life is deaththe goal of all life is death7.5010lost-10-2850
19.01.25Titan – Spiky GamingSpiky Gaming6.0010lost-10-2840
19.01.25Heroic – M80M8010.0010lost-10-2830
18.01.25Natus Vincere Junior – OGOG11.0010lost-10-2820
18.01.25One Move – 9PandasOne Move6.6010lost-10-2810
18.01.25Talon Esports – Team KukuysTeam Kukuys7.5010lost-10-2800
18.01.25Xtreme Gaming – the goal of all life is deaththe goal of all life is death9.0010lost-10-2790
17.01.25Team Hryvnia – MOUZTeam Hryvnia12.0010lost-10-2780
17.01.25Team Spirit – One MoveOne Move12.0010lost-10-2770
17.01.25L1ga Team – 9PandasL1ga Team11.0010lost-10-2760
17.01.25Virtus.pro – L1ga TeamVirtus.pro11.0010lost-10-2750
17.01.25BOOM Esports – Talon EsportsBOOM Esports13.0010lost-10-2740
17.01.259Pandas – Natus VincereNatus Vincere11.0010lost-10-2730
17.01.25Aurora Gaming – Team KukuysAurora Gaming12.0010lost-10-2720
17.01.25Execration – Team KukuysExecration10.0010lost-10-2710
16.01.25Team Spirit – 1w Team1w Team13.0010lost-10-2700
16.01.25Zero Tenacity – Winter BearWinter Bear6.6010lost-10-2690
16.01.25Team Spirit – Ban9PivoSamogonBan9PivoSamogon13.0010lost-10-2680
15.01.25Natus Vincere Junior – Ban9PivoSamogonNatus Vincere Junior5.3010lost-10-2670
15.01.25Nigma Galaxy – OGNigma Galaxy7.0010lost-10-2660
15.01.25L1ga Team – Ban9PivoSamogonL1ga Team12.0010lost-10-2650
15.01.25BOOM Esports – ExecrationExecration10.0010lost-10-2640
14.01.25M80 – Perro NegroPerro Negro6.6010lost-10-2630
14.01.25Natus Vincere – Natus Vincere JuniorNatus Vincere Junior13.0010lost-10-2620
14.01.25AVULUS – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy12.0010lost-10-2610
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 5.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.