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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
+90u
ROI
+4.4%
win rate
36%
bets
36
drawdown
60.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+239u
period 2top-up-163u
period 1profit withdrawn+13u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale3636%+90+4.4%60.1%Select
1% of bankroll3636%-85-24%10.6%Select
Flat (10 units)3636%-87-24.2%11%Select
2% of bankroll3636%-167-23.9%20.8%Select
5% of bankroll3636%-391-23.4%49.1%Select
10% of bankroll3636%-711-22.5%89.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 36, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.13160won+3411090
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9580lost-80749
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4340lost-40829
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9520lost-20869
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10889
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9140won+36899
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1320lost-20862
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10882
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11892
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12882
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10870
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9860
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.07405won+432851
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.95320lost-320419
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.46160lost-160739
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9280lost-80899
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2140lost-40979
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9620lost-201019
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9710lost-101039
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3520won+271049
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-101022
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.95160won+1521032
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9080lost-80879
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2140lost-40959
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8920lost-20999
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8910lost-101019
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9580won+761029
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9040lost-40953
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9520lost-20993
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-101013
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9710won+101023
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8940won+361013
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0220lost-20978
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-10998
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8920won+181008
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.