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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-91u
ROI
-4.8%
win rate
39%
bets
36
drawdown
60.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+59u
period 2top-up-163u
period 1profit withdrawn+13u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3639%-78-22.1%10.6%Select
Flat (10 units)3639%-81-22.4%11%Select
Martingale3639%-91-4.8%60.1%Selected
2% of bankroll3639%-152-21.8%20.6%Select
5% of bankroll3639%-351-20.9%46.6%Select
10% of bankroll3639%-619-19.5%79.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 36, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8910won+9909
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9080won+72900
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9540lost-40829
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9520lost-20869
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10889
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9140won+36899
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1320lost-20862
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10882
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11892
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12882
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10870
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9860
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.07405won+432851
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.95320lost-320419
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.46160lost-160739
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9280lost-80899
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2140lost-40979
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9620lost-201019
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9710lost-101039
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3520won+271049
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-101022
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.95160won+1521032
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9080lost-80879
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2140lost-40959
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8920lost-20999
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8910lost-101019
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9580won+761029
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9040lost-40953
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9520lost-20993
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-101013
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9710won+101023
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8940won+361013
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0220lost-20978
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-10998
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8920won+181008
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.