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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-80u
ROI
-22.4%
win rate
39%
bets
36
drawdown
9.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-0u
period 2top-up-68u
period 1top-up-12u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3639%-80-22.4%8.9%Select
Flat (10 units)3639%-80-22.4%9.1%Select
2% of bankroll3639%-158-22.5%17.6%Select
5% of bankroll3639%-386-22.5%42.8%Select
10% of bankroll3639%-738-22.5%81.5%Select
Martingale2330%-987-67.1%98.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 36, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8910won+9920
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10911
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9510lost-10921
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10931
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10941
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9951
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10942
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10952
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11962
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12951
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10939
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9929
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0710won+11920
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9510lost-10909
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4610lost-10919
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9210lost-10929
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2110lost-10939
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9610lost-10949
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9710lost-10959
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-10969
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3510won+13979
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9510won+10966
21.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9010won+9956
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2110lost-10947
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8910lost-10957
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8910lost-10967
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9510won+10977
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9010lost-10967
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9510lost-10977
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-10987
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9710won+10997
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8910won+9988
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-10979
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-10989
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8910won+9999
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.