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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-251u
ROI
-36.3%
win rate
30%
bets
69
drawdown
26.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-38u
period 2top-up-178u
period 1top-up-35u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6930%-238-36.9%25.4%Select
Flat (10 units)6930%-251-36.3%26.8%Selected
2% of bankroll6930%-451-37.5%47.9%Select
5% of bankroll6930%-975-38.8%101.3%Select
Martingale2025%-1002-57.6%100.2%Select
10% of bankroll6930%-1576-39.9%158.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 69, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2810lost-10749
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1310won+21759
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9510lost-10738
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10748
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10758
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10768
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10778
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9788
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10779
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10789
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10799
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11809
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12799
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10787
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10797
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9786
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0610lost-10777
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0710won+11787
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8910won+9777
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7510won+18768
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9510lost-10750
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4610lost-10760
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9210lost-10770
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4310won+14780
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9610lost-10766
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2110lost-10776
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9010lost-10786
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9610lost-10796
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9710lost-10806
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9910lost-10816
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5410lost-10826
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1010lost-10836
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3510won+13846
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1810lost-10832
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3710lost-10842
22.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Yakult BrothersConventus Stellarum1.9510won+9852
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9510won+10843
21.09.26Two Move – Zero TenacityTwo Move1.9010won+9833
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2210lost-10824
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4110lost-10834
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9010lost-10844
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2110lost-10854
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8910lost-10864
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8910lost-10874
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9510won+10884
18.09.26uralan – Two Moveuralan1.8910lost-10875
18.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Yellow SubmarineTeam Spirit Academy1.9910lost-10885
17.09.26Kalmychata – uralanKalmychata1.9510won+10895
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2510lost-10885
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9010lost-10895
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0210lost-10905
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9510lost-10915
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2410lost-10925
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0610lost-10935
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9610lost-10945
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-10955
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9710won+10965
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9510lost-10955
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8910won+9965
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-10957
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.