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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1002u
ROI
-57.6%
win rate
25%
bets
20
drawdown
100.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1top-up-2u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6932%-230-35.7%24.3%Select
Flat (10 units)6932%-243-35.2%25.6%Select
2% of bankroll6932%-437-36.2%45.9%Select
5% of bankroll6932%-942-37.3%97.2%Select
Martingale2025%-1002-57.6%100.2%Selected
10% of bankroll6932%-1520-38.2%152.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 20, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.90379lost-379-2
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.02320lost-320378
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.95160lost-160698
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2480lost-80858
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0640lost-40938
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9620lost-20978
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-10998
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9720won+191008
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9510lost-10988
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8920won+18998
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-10980
29.08.26MOUZ – Yellow SubmarineMOUZ1.89320won+284990
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.47160lost-160707
29.08.26Natus Vincere – summer bearsummer bear1.9680lost-80867
28.08.26PuckChamp – Inner CirclePuckChamp1.8940lost-40947
27.08.26Nemiga Gaming – summer bearNemiga Gaming1.9520lost-20987
25.08.26PuckChamp – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.9510lost-101007
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8910won+91017
24.08.26Inner Circle – Nemiga GamingInner Circle1.8920won+181008
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.