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Always the underdog

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-967u
ROI
-75%
win rate
30%
bets
20
drawdown
96.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+33u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6834%-202-31.8%22.5%Select
Flat (10 units)6834%-214-31.5%23.8%Select
2% of bankroll6834%-382-32.1%42.4%Select
5% of bankroll6834%-815-32.6%89.3%Select
Martingale2030%-967-75%96.8%Select
10% of bankroll6834%-1305-32.9%139.6%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 20, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.90379lost-37933
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.02320lost-320412
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.95160lost-160732
10.09.26Recrent Team – Daxak TeamRecrent Team1.8980lost-80892
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0640lost-40972
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9620lost-201012
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9610lost-101032
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9720won+191042
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9510lost-101023
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8920won+181033
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0210lost-101015
29.08.26MOUZ – Yellow SubmarineMOUZ1.8920won+181025
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4710lost-101008
29.08.26Ice Cream Men – Team KinetixIce Cream Men1.8980won+711018
28.08.26PuckChamp – Inner CirclePuckChamp1.8940lost-40947
27.08.26Nemiga Gaming – summer bearNemiga Gaming1.9520lost-20987
25.08.26PuckChamp – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.9510lost-101007
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8910won+91017
24.08.26Inner Circle – Nemiga GamingInner Circle1.8920won+181008
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0210lost-10990
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.