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Always the underdog

D2Dota 21% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-237u
ROI
-18.8%
win rate
40%
bets
131
drawdown
26.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

1% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-46u
period 2top-up-162u
period 1top-up-30u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll13140%-237-18.8%26.1%Select
Flat (10 units)13140%-247-18.8%27%Select
2% of bankroll13140%-456-18.8%49.3%Select
Martingale3845%-932-53.7%94%Select
5% of bankroll13140%-1010-18.6%103.8%Select
10% of bankroll13140%-1666-18.2%157.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 131, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26By_Owl Team – Korb3n TeamBy_Owl Team1.899won+8763
14.10.26Kalmychata – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.4610lost-10754
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2810lost-10764
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8910won+9774
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4510lost-10765
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8910won+9775
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.909won+9766
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4310lost-10758
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9510lost-10767
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1110lost-10777
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1210lost-10787
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9110won+9797
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1410lost-10788
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9798
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9110lost-10789
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1310lost-10799
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8910lost-10809
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9210won+9819
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1910lost-10810
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2010won+12820
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0810lost-10808
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0310lost-10818
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8910won+9828
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2310lost-10819
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0510won+11829
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1910won+12819
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9210lost-10807
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9010won+9817
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0310won+10808
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9210won+9798
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0510lost-10789
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0310lost-10799
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.078won+9809
30.09.26Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.688lost-8800
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.898won+7808
29.09.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.908lost-8801
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.758won+14809
29.09.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.058lost-8795
27.09.26YBN Team – Cake TeamYBN Team2.138lost-8803
27.09.26Daxak Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team2.238lost-8812
27.09.26Stray Team – YBN TeamYBN Team2.058won+9820
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.958lost-8811
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.469lost-9820
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.929lost-9828
25.09.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.019won+9837
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.438won+12828
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.969lost-9816
25.09.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.959lost-9825
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.219lost-9833
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.909lost-9842
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.969lost-9851
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.979lost-9860
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.999lost-9869
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.549lost-9878
24.09.26Natus Vincere – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.479won+13887
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.109lost-9874
23.09.26Stray Team – NS TeamNS Team2.019lost-9883
23.09.26Team Nemesis – Conventus StellarumConventus Stellarum2.069lost-9892
22.09.26LGD Gaming – Aurora GamingLGD Gaming1.909lost-9901
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.359won+13911
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.