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Always the favorite

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+487u
ROI
+3.7%
win rate
95%
bets
1259
drawdown
5.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

Martingale

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+36u
period 24profit withdrawn+4u
period 23profit withdrawn+45u
period 22profit withdrawn+18u
period 21profit withdrawn+14u
period 20profit withdrawn+47u
period 19profit withdrawn+6u
period 18profit withdrawn+39u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll125995%+5393+3.9%20.1%Select
5% of bankroll125995%+2599+3.9%12.8%Select
2% of bankroll125995%+1016+4%6.4%Select
1% of bankroll125995%+504+4%3.8%Select
Flat (10 units)125995%+500+4%3.8%Select
Martingale125995%+487+3.7%5.1%Select
Quarter Kelly3269%+311+21.1%14.8%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0210won+01487
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0110won+01487
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01487
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01487
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0110won+01486
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1510won+11486
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01485
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0110won+01485
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0210won+01485
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+11484
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2210won+21484
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2510won+21482
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0110won+01479
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0220won+01479
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPNo Hoodwink1.6010lost-101479
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2210won+21489
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0310won+01486
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0310won+01486
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2610won+31486
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3010won+31483
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0110won+01480
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingTeam Liquid2.5010won+151480
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.1510won+121465
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0610won+11454
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2010won+21453
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01451
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01451
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21451
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01449
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0510won+11449
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionLGD Gaming2.0010won+101448
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01438
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3510won+41438
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0110won+01435
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01435
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1210won+11434
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0210won+01433
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0210won+01433
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01433
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0110won+01433
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2510won+21433
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPLevel UP1.0640won+21430
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsNemiga Gaming1.8020lost-201428
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Lynx1.5210lost-101448
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP1.0210won+01458
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2510won+21458
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp1.0210won+01455
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01455
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.1210won+11455
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingBETBOOM Team1.0310won+01454
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0410won+01453
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingTeam Liquid1.0110won+01453
12.07.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0810won+11453
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0110won+01452
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0210won+01452
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0110won+01452
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0210won+01452
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0110won+01451
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0110won+01451
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Spirit1.0110won+01451
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.