Always the favorite
Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.
profit
+5281u
ROI
+3.8%
win rate
95%
bets
2542
drawdown
13.6%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the favorite
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+184u
period 24profit withdrawn+51u
period 23profit withdrawn+236u
period 22profit withdrawn+217u
period 21top-up-12u
period 20profit withdrawn+375u
period 19profit withdrawn+353u
period 18profit withdrawn+224u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 2542 | 95% | +11373 | +3.6% | 25.4% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 2542 | 95% | +5281 | +3.8% | 13.6% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 2542 | 95% | +2018 | +3.8% | 5.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 59 | 73% | +1301 | +44.6% | 10.4% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 2542 | 95% | +994 | +3.8% | 3.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2542 | 95% | +978 | +3.8% | 3% | Select |
| Martingale | 2542 | 95% | +955 | +3.6% | 6.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2542, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.02 | 59 | won | +1 | 6281 |
| 20.08.26 | PARIVISION – BETBOOM Team | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6280 |
| 16.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6279 |
| 15.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6279 |
| 15.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.03 | 59 | won | +2 | 6278 |
| 15.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | PARIVISION | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6276 |
| 15.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – Aurora Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6276 |
| 15.08.26 | 1w Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.15 | 58 | won | +9 | 6275 |
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 1.01 | 58 | won | +1 | 6266 |
| 15.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | LGD Gaming | 1.02 | 58 | won | +1 | 6266 |
| 15.08.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | Team Falcons | 1.01 | 58 | won | +1 | 6265 |
| 14.08.26 | LGD Gaming – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 1.01 | 58 | won | +1 | 6264 |
| 14.08.26 | Team Yandex – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.17 | 58 | won | +10 | 6264 |
| 13.08.26 | Team Falcons – PARIVISION | Team Falcons | 1.80 | 61 | lost | -61 | 6254 |
| 13.08.26 | OG – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 1.12 | 60 | won | +7 | 6315 |
| 13.08.26 | Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion | Aurora Gaming | 1.02 | 60 | won | +1 | 6307 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | PARIVISION | 1.06 | 60 | won | +4 | 6306 |
| 12.08.26 | Level UP – Rune Eaters | Level UP | 1.22 | 60 | won | +13 | 6302 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Zero Tenacity | Rune Eaters | 1.01 | 60 | won | +1 | 6289 |
| 11.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 1.01 | 60 | won | +1 | 6289 |
| 11.08.26 | Rune Eaters – MOUZ | Rune Eaters | 1.01 | 60 | won | +1 | 6288 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6288 |
| 10.08.26 | Rune Eaters Arise – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 1.25 | 59 | won | +15 | 6287 |
| 08.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – No Hoodwink | No Hoodwink | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6272 |
| 07.08.26 | Team Jenz – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 1.02 | 59 | won | +1 | 6272 |
| 07.08.26 | Zero Tenacity – No Hoodwink | Zero Tenacity | 1.02 | 59 | won | +1 | 6271 |
| 06.08.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Power Rangers | Power Rangers | 1.08 | 58 | won | +5 | 6269 |
| 06.08.26 | No Hoodwink – Level UP | No Hoodwink | 1.60 | 61 | lost | -61 | 6265 |
| 05.08.26 | Team Liquid – 1w Team | Team Liquid | 1.22 | 61 | won | +13 | 6326 |
| 05.08.26 | PlayTime – Yakult Brothers | PlayTime | 1.01 | 61 | won | +1 | 6313 |
| 05.08.26 | 1w Team – BETBOOM Team | 1w Team | 1.01 | 61 | won | +1 | 6312 |
| 04.08.26 | Team Liquid – Team Falcons | Team Falcons | 1.01 | 61 | won | +1 | 6312 |
| 04.08.26 | Yakult Brothers – Rune Eaters | Yakult Brothers | 1.03 | 61 | won | +2 | 6311 |
| 04.08.26 | PlayTime – Team Resilience | PlayTime | 1.06 | 60 | won | +4 | 6309 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Team Liquid | 1.03 | 60 | won | +2 | 6305 |
| 03.08.26 | Vici Gaming – Yakult Brothers | Yakult Brothers | 1.26 | 60 | won | +15 | 6304 |
| 03.08.26 | OG – GamerLegion | OG | 1.01 | 60 | won | +1 | 6288 |
| 03.08.26 | Xtreme Gaming – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.30 | 59 | won | +18 | 6288 |
| 03.08.26 | LGD Gaming – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6270 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | PlayTime | 1.01 | 59 | won | +1 | 6269 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Liquid – LGD Gaming | Team Liquid | 2.50 | 54 | won | +82 | 6269 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | Vici Gaming | 2.15 | 52 | won | +59 | 6187 |
| 02.08.26 | TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.06 | 51 | won | +3 | 6128 |
| 02.08.26 | Team Falcons – 1w Team | Team Falcons | 1.08 | 51 | won | +4 | 6125 |
| 02.08.26 | Yellow Submarine – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.06 | 51 | won | +3 | 6121 |
| 01.08.26 | Stray Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.04 | 51 | won | +2 | 6118 |
| 01.08.26 | GLYPH – Zero Tenacity | GLYPH | 1.10 | 51 | won | +5 | 6116 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | NS Team | 1.20 | 50 | won | +10 | 6111 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – GamerLegion | BETBOOM Team | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 6101 |
| 01.08.26 | Daxak Team – Team avice | Team avice | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 6100 |
| 01.08.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 6100 |
| 01.08.26 | Midas Club – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 1.03 | 50 | won | +2 | 6099 |
| 31.07.26 | Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 1.85 | 50 | won | +43 | 6098 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.17 | 50 | won | +8 | 6055 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 1.01 | 50 | won | +0 | 6046 |
| 31.07.26 | Enjoy Boys – GLYPH | GLYPH | 1.01 | 50 | won | +0 | 6046 |
| 31.07.26 | L1ga Team – REKONIX | REKONIX | 1.05 | 50 | won | +2 | 6045 |
| 31.07.26 | LGD Gaming – GamerLegion | LGD Gaming | 2.00 | 47 | won | +47 | 6043 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.01 | 47 | won | +0 | 5995 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Ilbirs eSports | 1.35 | 47 | won | +16 | 5995 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.