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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+348u
ROI
+3.8%
win rate
98%
bets
460
drawdown
3.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+6u
period 24profit withdrawn+35u
period 23profit withdrawn+7u
period 22profit withdrawn+27u
period 21top-up-2u
period 20profit withdrawn+27u
period 19profit withdrawn+7u
period 18profit withdrawn+12u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll46098%+1753+3.7%10%Select
5% of bankroll46098%+873+3.7%6.1%Select
2% of bankroll46098%+348+3.8%3.1%Selected
Martingale46098%+178+3.8%1.6%Select
1% of bankroll46098%+174+3.8%1.7%Select
Flat (10 units)46098%+174+3.8%1.7%Select
Quarter Kelly3100%+68+42.9%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 460, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0120won+01348
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0620won+11348
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0320won+11347
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0120won+01346
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2020won+41346
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1721won+41342
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0121won+01338
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0121won+01338
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3520won+71338
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0120won+01331
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1220won+21331
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0220won+01328
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0120won+01328
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2520won+51328
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2520won+51322
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0420won+11317
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0120won+01317
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0220won+01316
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0120won+01316
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0120won+01316
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.2020won+41316
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0120won+01312
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.2020won+41311
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.1220won+21307
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.0420won+11305
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit1.0120won+01304
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0220won+01304
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDread Team1.3020won+61304
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterMentality Monster1.0220won+01298
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsGrind Back1.0120won+01297
19.06.26summer bear – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0120won+01297
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsPower Rangers1.0120won+01297
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.2020won+41297
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamEstar Backs1.0320won+11293
11.06.26Phenomenon – NA Last HopeNA Last Hope1.3520lost-201292
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamTeam Nemesis1.0120won+01312
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityL1ga Team1.0120won+01312
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.3220won+61312
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming1.0320won+11305
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXREKONIX1.0820won+21305
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXREKONIX1.0220won+01303
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersPoor Rangers1.0220won+01303
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming1.0120won+01302
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.0820won+21302
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGTeam Spirit1.0121won+01301
29.05.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.4520won+91300
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubRamzes Club1.1220won+21291
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.2020won+41289
27.05.26OG – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0120won+01285
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0120won+01285
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.1720won+31284
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0120won+01281
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamSolo Team1.0120won+01281
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0320won+11281
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsAurora Gaming1.0320won+11280
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0620won+11279
16.05.26Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamTundra Esports1.0120won+01278
15.05.26Virtus.pro – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0120won+01278
14.05.26Natus Vincere – BETBOOM TeamNatus Vincere1.0420won+11278
12.05.26Two Move – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0120won+01277
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.