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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+174u
ROI
+3.8%
win rate
98%
bets
460
drawdown
1.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+3u
period 24profit withdrawn+17u
period 23profit withdrawn+4u
period 22profit withdrawn+13u
period 21top-up-1u
period 20profit withdrawn+13u
period 19profit withdrawn+3u
period 18profit withdrawn+6u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll46098%+1753+3.7%10%Select
5% of bankroll46098%+873+3.7%6.1%Select
2% of bankroll46098%+348+3.8%3.1%Select
Martingale46098%+178+3.8%1.6%Select
1% of bankroll46098%+174+3.8%1.7%Select
Flat (10 units)46098%+174+3.8%1.7%Select
Quarter Kelly3100%+68+42.9%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 460, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01174
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+11174
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0310won+01173
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0110won+01173
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2010won+21173
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21171
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01169
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01169
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3510won+41169
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01165
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1210won+11165
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0210won+01164
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0110won+01164
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2510won+21164
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2510won+21161
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0410won+01159
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0110won+01158
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0210won+01158
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0110won+01158
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0110won+01158
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.2010won+21158
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0110won+01156
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.2010won+21156
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.1210won+11154
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.0410won+01152
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit1.0110won+01152
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0210won+01152
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDread Team1.3010won+31152
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterMentality Monster1.0210won+01149
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsGrind Back1.0110won+01149
19.06.26summer bear – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0110won+01148
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsPower Rangers1.0110won+01148
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.2010won+21148
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamEstar Backs1.0310won+01146
11.06.26Phenomenon – NA Last HopeNA Last Hope1.3510lost-101146
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamTeam Nemesis1.0110won+01156
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityL1ga Team1.0110won+01156
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.3210won+31156
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming1.0310won+01153
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXREKONIX1.0810won+11152
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXREKONIX1.0210won+01151
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersPoor Rangers1.0210won+01151
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming1.0110won+01151
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.0810won+11151
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGTeam Spirit1.0110won+01150
29.05.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.4510won+41150
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubRamzes Club1.1210won+11146
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.2010won+21144
27.05.26OG – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01142
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01142
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.1710won+21142
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01140
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamSolo Team1.0110won+01140
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0310won+01140
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsAurora Gaming1.0310won+01140
17.05.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0610won+11140
16.05.26Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamTundra Esports1.0110won+01139
15.05.26Virtus.pro – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0110won+01139
14.05.26Natus Vincere – BETBOOM TeamNatus Vincere1.0410won+01139
12.05.26Two Move – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0110won+01138
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.