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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+3912u
ROI
+3.1%
win rate
97%
bets
1169
drawdown
22.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+217u
period 24profit withdrawn+245u
period 23profit withdrawn+106u
period 22profit withdrawn+339u
period 21profit withdrawn+88u
period 20profit withdrawn+280u
period 19profit withdrawn+1u
period 18profit withdrawn+111u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll116997%+3912+3.1%22.3%Select
5% of bankroll116997%+1895+3.1%12.7%Select
2% of bankroll116997%+744+3.1%5.6%Select
Martingale116997%+378+3.1%2.7%Select
1% of bankroll116997%+370+3.1%2.9%Select
Flat (10 units)116997%+367+3.1%2.9%Select
Quarter Kelly9100%+128+42.2%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1169, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.02121won+24912
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.01121won+14910
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01121won+14908
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03121won+44907
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.01121won+14904
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.15119won+184902
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01119won+14884
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.01119won+14883
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.02118won+24882
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06118won+74880
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.22115won+254873
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.25112won+284847
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.01112won+14819
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.02112won+24818
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.22110won+244816
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.03109won+34792
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.03109won+34788
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.26106won+284785
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.30103won+314758
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.01103won+14727
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.06102won+64726
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.20100won+204719
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.01100won+14699
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03100won+34698
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17122won+214695
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01122won+14675
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.05122won+64673
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01122won+14667
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.35117won+414666
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.01117won+14625
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01117won+14624
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.12116won+144623
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.02116won+24609
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.02115won+24606
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.01115won+14604
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.01115won+14603
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.25112won+284602
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPLevel UP1.06112won+74574
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP1.02111won+24567
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.25109won+274565
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp1.02108won+24538
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01108won+14535
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.12107won+134534
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingBETBOOM Team1.03107won+34522
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.04106won+44518
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingTeam Liquid1.01106won+14514
12.07.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.08105won+84513
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.01105won+14505
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.02105won+24504
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.01105won+14501
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.02105won+24500
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.01105won+14498
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.01105won+14497
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Spirit1.01104won+14496
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.20102won+204495
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.01102won+14475
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.20100won+204474
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamBy_Owl Team1.03100won+34454
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.12109won+134451
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.04109won+44437
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.