Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 2Martingalepayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit

-5u

ROI

-25%

win rate

50%

bets

drawdown

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

gps_fixed

What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

payments

Stake size

Martingale

restart_alt

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights

Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 3profit withdrawn+0u

period 2top-up-5u

period 1profit withdrawn+0u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
Flat (10 units)	2	50%	-5	-25%	1%	Select
Martingale	2	50%	-5	-25%	1%	Selected
1% of bankroll	2	50%	-5	-25.2%	1%	Select
2% of bankroll	2	50%	-10	-25.4%	2%	Select
5% of bankroll	2	50%	-26	-25.9%	5%	Select
10% of bankroll	2	50%	-55	-26.8%	10%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
29.09.26	1w Team – Natus Vincere	Natus Vincere	1.43	10	lost	-10	995
24.09.26	Daxak Team – gpK~ Team	Daxak Team	1.50	10	won	+5	1005

Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓