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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+367u
ROI
+3.1%
win rate
97%
bets
1169
drawdown
2.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+20u
period 24profit withdrawn+22u
period 23profit withdrawn+12u
period 22profit withdrawn+30u
period 21profit withdrawn+10u
period 20profit withdrawn+25u
period 19profit withdrawn+1u
period 18profit withdrawn+12u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll116997%+3912+3.1%22.3%Select
5% of bankroll116997%+1895+3.1%12.7%Select
2% of bankroll116997%+744+3.1%5.6%Select
Martingale116997%+378+3.1%2.7%Select
1% of bankroll116997%+370+3.1%2.9%Select
Flat (10 units)116997%+367+3.1%2.9%Select
Quarter Kelly9100%+128+42.2%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1169, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0210won+01367
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0110won+01367
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01367
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01367
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0110won+01367
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1510won+11367
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01365
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0110won+01365
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0210won+01365
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+11365
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2210won+21364
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2510won+21362
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0110won+01359
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0210won+01359
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2210won+21359
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0310won+01357
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0310won+01357
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2610won+31356
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3010won+31354
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0110won+01351
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0610won+11351
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2010won+21350
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01348
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01348
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21348
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01346
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0510won+11346
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01345
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3510won+41345
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0110won+01342
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01342
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1210won+11341
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0210won+01340
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0210won+01340
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01340
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0110won+01340
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2510won+21340
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPLevel UP1.0610won+11337
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP1.0210won+01337
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2510won+21336
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp1.0210won+01334
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01334
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.1210won+11334
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingBETBOOM Team1.0310won+01332
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0410won+01332
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingTeam Liquid1.0110won+01332
12.07.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0810won+11332
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0110won+01331
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0210won+01331
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0110won+01330
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0210won+01330
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0110won+01330
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0110won+01330
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Spirit1.0110won+01330
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.2010won+21330
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0110won+01328
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.2010won+21328
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamBy_Owl Team1.0310won+01326
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.1210won+11325
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.0410won+01324
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.