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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+744u
ROI
+3.1%
win rate
97%
bets
1169
drawdown
5.6%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+40u
period 24profit withdrawn+45u
period 23profit withdrawn+23u
period 22profit withdrawn+62u
period 21profit withdrawn+19u
period 20profit withdrawn+51u
period 19profit withdrawn+2u
period 18profit withdrawn+24u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll116997%+3912+3.1%22.3%Select
5% of bankroll116997%+1895+3.1%12.7%Select
2% of bankroll116997%+744+3.1%5.6%Select
Martingale116997%+378+3.1%2.7%Select
1% of bankroll116997%+370+3.1%2.9%Select
Flat (10 units)116997%+367+3.1%2.9%Select
Quarter Kelly9100%+128+42.2%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1169, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0221won+01744
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0121won+01743
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0121won+01743
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0321won+11743
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0121won+01742
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1521won+31742
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0121won+01739
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0121won+01739
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0221won+01739
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0621won+11738
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2221won+51737
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2520won+51732
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0120won+01727
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0220won+01727
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2220won+41727
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0320won+11722
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0320won+11722
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2620won+51721
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3020won+61716
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0120won+01710
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0620won+11709
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2020won+41708
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0120won+01704
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0320won+11704
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1721won+41703
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0121won+01700
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0521won+11700
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0121won+01699
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3521won+71698
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0121won+01691
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0121won+01691
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1221won+21691
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0221won+01688
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0221won+01688
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0121won+01688
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0121won+01687
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2520won+51687
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPLevel UP1.0620won+11682
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP1.0220won+01681
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2520won+51680
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp1.0220won+01675
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0120won+01675
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.1220won+21675
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingBETBOOM Team1.0320won+11672
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0420won+11672
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingTeam Liquid1.0120won+01671
12.07.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0820won+21671
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0120won+01669
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0220won+01669
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0120won+01668
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0220won+01668
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0120won+01668
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0120won+01668
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Spirit1.0120won+01667
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.2020won+41667
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0120won+01663
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.2020won+41663
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamBy_Owl Team1.0320won+11659
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.1220won+21658
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.0420won+11656
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.