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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+728u
ROI
+3.1%
win rate
97%
bets
2382
drawdown
3.4%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+29u
period 24profit withdrawn+13u
period 23profit withdrawn+12u
period 22profit withdrawn+43u
period 21profit withdrawn+16u
period 20profit withdrawn+37u
period 19profit withdrawn+13u
period 18profit withdrawn+32u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll238297%+8232+2.9%20%Select
5% of bankroll238297%+3870+3%13%Select
2% of bankroll238297%+1492+3%6.3%Select
Martingale238297%+766+3.1%3.3%Select
1% of bankroll238297%+737+3%3.4%Select
Flat (10 units)238297%+728+3.1%3.4%Selected
Quarter Kelly1486%+90+16.9%6.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2382, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0210won+01728
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0110won+01728
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0110won+01727
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0110won+01727
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01727
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0110won+01727
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0110won+01727
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1510won+11727
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01725
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0210won+01725
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0110won+01725
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0110won+01725
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21725
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1210won+11723
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0210won+01722
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0610won+11722
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2210won+21721
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0110won+01719
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01719
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0110won+01719
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0110won+01719
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2510won+21718
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0110won+01716
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.0210won+01716
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0210won+01716
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0810won+11715
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2210won+21715
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersPlayTime1.0110won+01712
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM Team1w Team1.0110won+01712
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.0110won+01712
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0310won+01712
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResiliencePlayTime1.0610won+11712
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0310won+01711
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2610won+31711
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG1.0110won+01708
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3010won+31708
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.0110won+01705
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0110won+01705
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0610won+11705
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w TeamTeam Falcons1.0810won+11704
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0610won+11704
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0410won+01703
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH1.1010won+11703
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2010won+21702
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionBETBOOM Team1.0110won+01700
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0110won+01700
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team1.0110won+01699
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0310won+01699
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1710won+21699
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0110won+01697
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHGLYPH1.0110won+01697
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0510won+11697
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01697
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3510won+41697
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0110won+01693
30.07.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamStray Team1.0210won+01693
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0110won+01693
30.07.26Level UP – Zero TenacityLevel UP1.0210won+01693
30.07.26Zero Tenacity – PuckChampZero Tenacity1.0310won+01692
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1210won+11692
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.