Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-12u
ROI
-4%
win rate
67%
bets
3
drawdown
10%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
10% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-12u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 3 | 67% | +4 | +10.3% | 1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 3 | 67% | -0 | -1.5% | 1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 3 | 67% | -1 | -1.7% | 1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 3 | 67% | -1 | -2% | 2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 3 | 67% | -4 | -2.7% | 5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 3 | 67% | -12 | -4% | 10% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 3, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.09.26 | Team Yandex – MOUZ | Team Yandex | 1.46 | 94 | won | +43 | 988 |
| 29.09.26 | 1w Team – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.43 | 105 | lost | -105 | 945 |
| 24.09.26 | Daxak Team – gpK~ Team | Daxak Team | 1.50 | 100 | won | +50 | 1050 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.