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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+1492u
ROI
+3%
win rate
97%
bets
2382
drawdown
6.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+59u
period 24profit withdrawn+26u
period 23profit withdrawn+22u
period 22profit withdrawn+88u
period 21profit withdrawn+32u
period 20profit withdrawn+75u
period 19profit withdrawn+25u
period 18profit withdrawn+65u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll238297%+8232+2.9%20%Select
5% of bankroll238297%+3870+3%13%Select
2% of bankroll238297%+1492+3%6.3%Selected
Martingale238297%+766+3.1%3.3%Select
1% of bankroll238297%+737+3%3.4%Select
Flat (10 units)238297%+728+3.1%3.4%Select
Quarter Kelly1486%+90+16.9%6.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2382, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0221won+02492
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0121won+02491
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0121won+02491
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.0121won+02491
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0321won+12491
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0121won+02490
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.0121won+02490
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1521won+32490
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0121won+02487
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.0221won+02486
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0121won+02486
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0121won+02486
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1721won+42486
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.1221won+32482
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0221won+02479
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0621won+12479
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2221won+52478
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.0121won+02473
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0121won+02473
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.0121won+02473
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.0121won+02473
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2521won+52472
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0121won+02467
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming1.0221won+02467
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0221won+02467
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersPower Rangers1.0821won+22466
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2221won+52464
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersPlayTime1.0121won+02460
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM Team1w Team1.0121won+02460
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.0121won+02460
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0321won+12459
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResiliencePlayTime1.0620won+12459
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0320won+12458
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2620won+52457
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG1.0120won+02452
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3020won+62451
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.0120won+02445
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0120won+02445
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0620won+12445
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w TeamTeam Falcons1.0820won+22444
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0620won+12442
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0420won+12441
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityGLYPH1.1020won+22440
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2020won+42438
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionBETBOOM Team1.0120won+02434
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0120won+02434
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingBETBOOM Team1.0120won+02434
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0320won+12433
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1720won+32433
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0120won+02429
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHGLYPH1.0120won+02429
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0520won+12429
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0120won+02428
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3520won+72428
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0120won+02421
30.07.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamStray Team1.0220won+02420
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0120won+02420
30.07.26Level UP – Zero TenacityLevel UP1.0220won+02420
30.07.26Zero Tenacity – PuckChampZero Tenacity1.0320won+12419
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1220won+22419
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.