DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionAEAmbrella Esportwin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wolf Warriorsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ambrella Esport
No games played over 6 months.
Wolf Warriors
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
511 picks · 705 bans
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
Muerta
420 picks · 310 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 398 bans
Bristleback
376 picks · 861 bans
Magnus
375 picks · 991 bans
Phantom Assassin
374 picks · 629 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 501 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Ambrella Esport
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Wolf Warriors
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Ambrella Esport 48%Wolf Warriors 52%
The model gave 52% on Wolf Warriors — the game was taken by Ambrella Esport.
Game 2prediction missed
Ambrella Esport 48%Wolf Warriors 52%
The model gave 52% on Wolf Warriors — the game was taken by Ambrella Esport.
Model check result
Model favoriteWolf Warriors · 52%
Series resultAmbrella Esport 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2