DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
EGEnd Gameloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Clockwerk
LeBronDota · 35 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 31 game
Lion
Pablo · 27 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 25 games
Dark Willow
jAMES · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
Stojkov · 24 games
Lich
LeBronDota · 23 games
Phoenixoften banned
LeBronDota · 23 games
End Game
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
507 picks · 696 bans
Phoenix
425 picks · 694 bans
Muerta
416 picks · 307 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 398 bans
Bristleback
374 picks · 849 bans
Magnus
370 picks · 983 bans
Phantom Assassin
369 picks · 618 bans
Pangolier
360 picks · 495 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% End Game
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 71%End Game 29%
The model gave 71% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 71%
Series resultZero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1