DreamLeague Season 29. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction1123loss 0:1
series probability
4%96%
probability at match start · final 0:1
GLYPHwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
123
No games played over 6 months.
GLYPH
Brewmasteroften banned
zeal · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Emo · 2 games
Hoodwink
Jhocam · 2 games
Jakirooften banned
NARMAN · 2 games
Largooften banned
zeal · 2 games
Void Spirit
Emo · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
JaCkky · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
JaCkky · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
648 picks · 736 bans
Tiny
529 picks · 483 bans
Tusk
492 picks · 397 bans
Warlock
443 picks · 300 bans
Shadow Demon
408 picks · 1092 bans
Phoenix
401 picks · 334 bans
Puck
386 picks · 801 bans
Mars
385 picks · 572 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength56% GLYPH
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% GLYPH
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
123 4%GLYPH 96%
The model gave 96% on GLYPH — the game was taken by GLYPH.
Model check result
Model favoriteGLYPH · 96%
Series resultGLYPH 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1