PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
LGD Gaming
Lion
Pyw · 14 games
Pucksignature
Setsu · 14 games
Pangolieroften banned
Setsu · 13 games
Marsoften banned
niu · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 12 games
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 12 games
Luna
shiro · 11 games
Naga Sirensignature
shiro · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
430 picks · 702 bans
Mars
409 picks · 664 bans
Techies
407 picks · 325 bans
Lion
398 picks · 361 bans
Tiny
390 picks · 495 bans
Batrider
389 picks · 861 bans
Vengeful Spirit
363 picks · 359 bans
Crystal Maiden
362 picks · 160 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total50% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:17
G2 Invictus Gaming 50%LGD Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 50:15.
Game 2prediction correct28:16
G2 Invictus Gaming 50%LGD Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 44:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 50%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2