DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:1series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Rest Farmerswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
B8 Esports
Shadow Shamansignature
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 16 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 13 games
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 13 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Lowskill · 12 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 12 games
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 12 games
Wraith Kingsignature
StoneBank · 12 games
Rest Farmers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
379 picks · 351 bans
Centaur Warrunner
362 picks · 579 bans
Mars
349 picks · 535 bans
Techies
347 picks · 273 bans
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 335 bans
Batrider
328 picks · 673 bans
Hoodwink
319 picks · 191 bans
Tiny
309 picks · 318 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 69%
Hero pool strength55% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Rest Farmers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
B8 Esports 35%Rest Farmers 65%
The model gave 65% on Rest Farmers — the game was taken by Rest Farmers.
Model check result
Model favoriteRest Farmers · 65%
Series resultRest Farmers 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1