?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamloss 0:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

1w Team

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fishman · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Munkushi~ · 20 games
75%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Munkushi~ · 17 games
47%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 15 games
60%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Munkushi~ · 15 games
40%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Cloud · 14 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Munkushi~ · 13 games
54%

Natus Vincere Junior

Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 26 games
65%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Niku · 26 games
42%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 23 games
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Riddys · 23 games
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gotthejuice · 21 game
57%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Zayac · 20 games
60%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 20 games
60%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
gotthejuice · 20 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
484 picks · 448 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
479 picks · 564 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
450 picks · 232 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
353 picks · 709 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
312 picks · 490 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
311 picks · 724 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
304 picks · 252 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
292 picks · 91 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total58% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:19
1w Team 48%Natus Vincere Junior 52%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 37:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kunkka
KunkkaMunkushi~
47% · 70 games51% · 164 games
Svengotthejuice
Sven
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSSS
43% · 170 games47% · 20 games
Death ProphetNiku
Death Prophet
Tiny
TinySquad1x
49% · 253 games50% · 158 games
Underlordpma
Underlord
Chen
Chenkasane
56% · 54 games48% · 129 games
PugnaRiddys
Pugna
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightswedenstrong
51% · 61 game58% · 137 games
Shadow ShamanZayac
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction correct15:24
1w Team 47%Natus Vincere Junior 53%
The model gave 53% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 40:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckSquad1x
49% · 106 games46% · 90 games
Svengotthejuice
Sven
Lycan
LycanSSS
45% · 58 games50% · 14 games
Death ProphetNiku
Death Prophet
Kunkka
KunkkaMunkushi~
58% · 45 games49% · 81 game
Tidehunterpma
Tidehunter
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightswedenstrong
52% · 55 games53% · 98 games
MagnusZayac
Magnus
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionkasane
56% · 50 games44% · 31 game
OracleRiddys
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 58%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2