ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
1w Teamwin 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Power Rangersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
1w Team
Pucksignature
Squad1x · 32 games
Warlock
kasane · 32 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 28 games
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 27 games
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 25 games
Tusk
swedenstrong · 24 games
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
Power Rangers
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 5 games
Clinkzoften banned
nesfeer · 3 games
Kunkka
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
nesfeer · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Alberkaaa · 3 games
Treant Protectoroften banned
Hduo · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
nicky`cool · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Alberkaaa · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
531 picks · 766 bans
Tusk
492 picks · 343 bans
Dragon Knight
463 picks · 636 bans
Centaur Warrunner
439 picks · 551 bans
Shadow Demon
376 picks · 674 bans
Gyrocopter
353 picks · 570 bans
Mars
342 picks · 458 bans
Slardar
323 picks · 888 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 44%
Hero pool strength59% 1w Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total85% 1w Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:26
1w Team 70%Power Rangers 30%
The model gave 70% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 40:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaMunkushi~
Clinkznesfeer
BeastmasterSquad1x
Storm Spiritnicky`cool
TidehunterSSS
BrewmasterAlberkaaa
DazzleRein
Shadow DemonImmersion
Treant Protectorswedenstrong
JakiroHduo
Game 2prediction correct27:8
1w Team 69%Power Rangers 31%
The model gave 69% on 1w Team — the game was taken by 1w Team in 25:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautMunkushi~
Shadow Fiendnesfeer
SniperSquad1x
Centaur WarrunnerAlberkaaa
BatriderSSS
Vipernicky`cool
Skywrath MageRein
MiranaImmersion
Treant Protectorswedenstrong
ClockwerkHduo
Model check result
Model favorite1w Team · 85%
Series result1w Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2