The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Invictus Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 33 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 24 games
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
Doomsignature
zai · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 20 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 20 games
Tusksignature
Nisha · 20 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
678 picks · 456 bans
Techies
640 picks · 677 bans
Doom
576 picks · 1118 bans
Ember Spirit
503 picks · 1044 bans
Beastmaster
500 picks · 1241 bans
Disruptor
500 picks · 475 bans
Enchantress
466 picks · 713 bans
Pangolier
440 picks · 918 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 44%
Hero pool strength63% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:9
Team Liquid 59%Invictus Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 32:04.
Game 2prediction missed15:23
Team Liquid 59%Invictus Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 34:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 59%
Accuracy by game1 of 2