RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
2 Girls 1 Puckloss 0:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dandelionswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
2 Girls 1 Puck
No games played over 6 months.
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
486 picks · 215 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 623 bans
Batrider
414 picks · 734 bans
Rubick
394 picks · 158 bans
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 549 bans
Gyrocopter
383 picks · 326 bans
Pangolier
365 picks · 739 bans
Mars
337 picks · 549 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 37%
Hero pool strength50% 2 Girls 1 Puck
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Dandelions
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
2 Girls 1 Puck 29%Dandelions 71%
The model gave 71% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Game 2prediction correct
2 Girls 1 Puck 29%Dandelions 71%
The model gave 71% on Dandelions — the game was taken by Dandelions.
Model check result
Model favoriteDandelions · 71%
Series resultDandelions 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2