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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Yandexloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
80%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Saksa · 21 game
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 19 games
63%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Saksa · 19 games
58%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 16 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Saksa · 15 games
47%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
rue · 42 games
55%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Collapse · 23 games
57%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
not me · 21 game
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
rue · 20 games
75%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
rue · 20 games
70%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Collapse · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 16 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Collapse · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
482 picks · 336 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
351 picks · 448 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
339 picks · 534 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
319 picks · 488 bans
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
312 picks · 643 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
289 picks · 320 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
280 picks · 207 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
271 picks · 434 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Team Yandex
Head-to-head8 – 2
Model total55% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:26
Team Yandex 49%Team Spirit 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 37:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawDM
49% · 196 games48% · 167 games
TerrorbladeYatoro
Terrorblade
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendWatson
52% · 222 games44% · 237 games
UnderlordCollapse
Underlord
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
55% · 351 game49% · 287 games
PangolierLarl
Pangolier
Mirana
MiranaMalady
54% · 131 game52% · 142 games
Winter Wyvernrue
Winter Wyvern
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSaksa
54% · 161 game43% · 228 games
Dark Willownot me
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct14:38
Team Yandex 48%Team Spirit 52%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 34:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetWatson
51% · 284 games57% · 305 games
Shadow FiendYatoro
Shadow Fiend
Doom
DoomDM
47% · 309 games50% · 394 games
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
Centaur Warrunner
Snapfire
SnapfireChira JUNIOR
51% · 632 games48% · 367 games
PangolierLarl
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
48% · 469 games49% · 643 games
Hoodwinkrue
Hoodwink
Undying
UndyingMalady
47% · 274 games51% · 259 games
Clockwerknot me
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 55%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2