Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionTGTeam GmDloss 0:1
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:1
cybercatswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team GmD
No games played over 6 months.
cybercats
Faceless Voidoften banned
Shigetsu · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Broodmotheroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Disruptor
Fezor · 1 game
Jakiro
Fezor · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
Rikioften banned
Shigetsu · 1 game
Silenceroften banned
Fezor · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
270 picks · 404 bans
Tidehunter
266 picks · 391 bans
Monkey King
258 picks · 638 bans
Bane
242 picks · 181 bans
Weaver
222 picks · 421 bans
Lina
216 picks · 472 bans
Lion
209 picks · 107 bans
Tiny
203 picks · 273 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 67%
Hero pool strength58% cybercats
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% cybercats
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:32
Team GmD 42%cybercats 58%
The model gave 58% on cybercats — the game was taken by cybercats in 30:52.
Model check result
Model favoritecybercats · 58%
Series resultcybercats 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1