BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
D2 Hustlers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
275 picks · 153 bans
Mars
261 picks · 345 bans
Lina
252 picks · 512 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 385 bans
Pangolier
230 picks · 329 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 296 bans
Shadow Demon
220 picks · 232 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 30%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total74% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 74%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect