BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
4 Zoomerswin 2:0series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 9 games
Timbersawoften banned
TingleK1ng · 5 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 3 games
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 207 bans
Puck
373 picks · 976 bans
Mars
363 picks · 600 bans
Grimstroke
341 picks · 359 bans
Snapfire
314 picks · 178 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 221 bans
Death Prophet
277 picks · 611 bans
Tiny
277 picks · 191 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 21%
Hero pool strength50% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total84% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:9
4 Zoomers 84%The Cut 16%
The model gave 84% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 33:32.
Game 2prediction correct40:32
4 Zoomers 84%The Cut 16%
The model gave 84% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 41:29.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 84%
Series result4 Zoomers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2