BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
4 Zoomersloss 1:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Thunder Awakenwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Thunder Awaken
Marsoften banned
Frank · 15 games
Phoenix
Mjz · 8 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 7 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Mnz · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Void Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 5 games
Centaur Warrunner
Frank · 4 games
Earth Spirit
MoOz · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
261 picks · 322 bans
Tidehunter
259 picks · 380 bans
Monkey King
243 picks · 541 bans
Lion
232 picks · 116 bans
Void Spirit
226 picks · 246 bans
Lina
222 picks · 469 bans
Pangolier
220 picks · 287 bans
Tiny
209 picks · 279 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 25%
Hero pool strength59% 4 Zoomers
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Thunder Awaken
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteThunder Awaken · 58%
Series resultThunder Awaken 1:2
Series predictioncorrect