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BLAST Slam V. Открытые отборочные · BO1
result vs prediction
4Pirateswin 1:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AllStarsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4Pirates

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ariel · 32 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
мистер мораль · 31 game
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Otaker · 29 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
ariel · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
PERDAN4IK · 25 games
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Otaker · 22 games
73%
Sniper
Snipersignature
NattyNarwhal · 22 games
64%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
PERDAN4IK · 21 game
67%

AllStars

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Benjimon · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Asao · 7 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
blessed kid · 7 games
29%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Asao · 7 games
29%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
Benjimon · 6 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
FeelinG · 5 games
0%
Omniknight
Omniknight
blessed kid · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Benjimon · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
465 picks · 239 bans
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
458 picks · 442 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
358 picks · 947 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
324 picks · 370 bans
52%
Warlock
Warlock
304 picks · 150 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
295 picks · 226 bans
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
288 picks · 669 bans
57%
Batrider
Batrider
286 picks · 645 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength61% 4Pirates
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% 4Pirates
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
4Pirates 74%AllStars 26%
The model gave 74% on 4Pirates — the game was taken by 4Pirates.
Model check result
Model favorite4Pirates · 74%
Series result4Pirates 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1