BTS Pro Series Season 12: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5ManMidasloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Runeswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5ManMidas
No games played over 6 months.
No Runes
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
646 picks · 502 bans
Marci
475 picks · 692 bans
Dawnbreaker
418 picks · 590 bans
Puck
414 picks · 866 bans
Winter Wyvern
333 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
291 picks · 479 bans
Zeus
284 picks · 382 bans
Enchantress
267 picks · 321 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% 5ManMidas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% No Runes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:43
5ManMidas 35%No Runes 65%
The model gave 65% on No Runes — the game was taken by No Runes in 33:59.
Game 2prediction correct39:10
5ManMidas 35%No Runes 65%
The model gave 65% on No Runes — the game was taken by No Runes in 21:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Runes · 65%
Series resultNo Runes 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2