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BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 2:1
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:1
beastcoastloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

5RATFORCESTAFF

Jakiro
Jakiro
albinozebra · 35 games
57%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Speeed · 12 games
75%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 12 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
dnm · 12 games
58%
Rubick
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 12 games
50%
Silencer
Silencer
albinozebra · 12 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
albinozebra · 12 games
75%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
dnm · 11 games
55%

beastcoast

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
628 picks · 409 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
548 picks · 530 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
539 picks · 432 bans
49%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
437 picks · 518 bans
55%
Mirana
Mirana
380 picks · 382 bans
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
363 picks · 200 bans
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
321 picks · 484 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
320 picks · 212 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 79%
Hero pool strength55% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:44
5RATFORCESTAFF 27%beastcoast 73%
The model gave 73% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 28:21.
Game 2prediction missed37:14
5RATFORCESTAFF 27%beastcoast 73%
The model gave 73% on beastcoast — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 24:08.
Game 3prediction missed26:28
5RATFORCESTAFF 27%beastcoast 73%
The model gave 73% on beastcoast — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 35:20.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 73%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3