BTS Pro Series Season 14: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
5RATFORCESTAFFloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Dreamersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakiro
albinozebra · 34 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
dnm · 11 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 10 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 10 games
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 10 games
Treant Protectorsignature
albinozebra · 10 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Speeed · 9 games
Broodmothersignature
Speeed · 9 games
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
521 picks · 354 bans
Tusk
493 picks · 485 bans
Tiny
479 picks · 425 bans
Treant Protector
365 picks · 429 bans
Mirana
351 picks · 343 bans
Snapfire
314 picks · 160 bans
Ember Spirit
282 picks · 690 bans
Clockwerk
275 picks · 177 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:41
5RATFORCESTAFF 55%Dreamers 45%
The model gave 55% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by Dreamers in 53:56.
Game 2prediction correct44:32
5RATFORCESTAFF 55%Dreamers 45%
The model gave 55% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 59:26.
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2