ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Doomsignature
MieRo · 31 game
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 26 games
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 26 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 26 games
Rubick
Antares · 22 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
Storm Spiritsignature
kiyotaka · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 18 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
273 picks · 422 bans
Dark Willow
231 picks · 110 bans
Muerta
229 picks · 322 bans
Treant Protector
221 picks · 451 bans
Phoenix
216 picks · 318 bans
Kunkka
197 picks · 520 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 166 bans
Nature's Prophet
191 picks · 408 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 63%
Hero pool strength54% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:36
9Pandas 27%G2 Invictus Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 38:45.
Game 2prediction correct14:29
9Pandas 27%G2 Invictus Gaming 73%
The model gave 73% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 30:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 73%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2