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DreamLeague Season 22. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:1
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:1
HULIGANIloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Doom
Doomoften banned
Antares · 23 games
57%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
RAMZES666 · 21 game
62%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 16 games
31%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 16 games
56%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 13 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 12 games
50%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 12 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
RAMZES666 · 12 games
67%

HULIGANI

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 6 games
50%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 6 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Immersion · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RodjER · 3 games
33%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Immersion · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
yamich · 3 games
0%
Windranger
Windranger
RAMZES666 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
256 picks · 427 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
247 picks · 381 bans
49%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
246 picks · 341 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
216 picks · 204 bans
46%
Muerta
Muerta
204 picks · 285 bans
49%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
200 picks · 510 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
197 picks · 98 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
180 picks · 322 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:15
9Pandas 45%HULIGANI 55%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 36:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
WindrangerDarkLord^
56% · 123 games46% · 191 game
Timbersawkasane
Timbersaw
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainAinkrad
55% · 106 games52% · 186 games
Magnuskiyotaka
Magnus
Mars
MarsAlberkaaa
51% · 97 games69% · 8 games
OmniknightRAMZES666
Omniknight
Pugna
PugnaAntares
50% · 139 games46% · 188 games
PhoenixRodjER
Phoenix
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSolo
48% · 194 games45% · 86 games
Lionyamich
Lion
Game 2prediction correct19:37
9Pandas 45%HULIGANI 55%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 32:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenDarkLord^
47% · 108 games62% · 90 games
Earthshakerkiyotaka
Earthshaker
Monkey King
Monkey KingAlberkaaa
50% · 87 games49% · 132 games
Templar AssassinRAMZES666
Templar Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritAinkrad
45% · 207 games51% · 233 games
Primal Beastkasane
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenSolo
51% · 66 games54% · 72 games
Elder TitanRodjER
Elder Titan
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonAntares
44% · 159 games49% · 100 games
Grimstrokeyamich
Grimstroke
Game 3prediction missed46:29
9Pandas 44%HULIGANI 56%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 40:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerDarkLord^
48% · 104 games42% · 78 games
WeaverRAMZES666
Weaver
Clockwerk
ClockwerkAinkrad
56% · 209 games34% · 23 games
Outworld Destroyerkiyotaka
Outworld Destroyer
Magnus
MagnusAlberkaaa
52% · 144 games49% · 221 game
Primal Beastkasane
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenSolo
45% · 50 games57% · 218 games
Batrideryamich
Batrider
Dark Willow
Dark WillowAntares
53% · 141 game50% · 108 games
Vengeful SpiritRodjER
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 60%
Series result9Pandas 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3