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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 1:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
erase · 29 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
lupsione · 27 games
33%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Solo · 22 games
55%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 21 game
62%
Lion
Lion
lupsione · 20 games
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
laise · 18 games
61%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 17 games
41%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Solo · 17 games
41%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Poloson · 36 games
56%
Muerta
Muerta
Pyw · 24 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 21 game
48%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 21 game
62%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Xm · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 17 games
88%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
niu · 16 games
56%
Doom
Doomoften banned
niu · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
513 picks · 788 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
509 picks · 613 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
488 picks · 505 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
466 picks · 567 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
434 picks · 370 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
430 picks · 1002 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 776 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
391 picks · 211 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:42
9Pandas 49%Xtreme Gaming 51%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 39:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
41% · 102 games47% · 280 games
Gyrocopterlou
Gyrocopter
Timbersaw
Timbersawlaise
50% · 214 games50% · 169 games
PuckXm
Puck
Lina
LinaSerenada
54% · 120 games47% · 169 games
Dawnbreakerniu
Dawnbreaker
Lion
Lionlupsione
53% · 194 games53% · 72 games
Shadow ShamanPoloson
Shadow Shaman
Elder Titan
Elder TitanSolo
57% · 88 games48% · 28 games
PudgeUndyne_
Pudge
Game 2prediction correct47:36
9Pandas 51%Xtreme Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 52:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaSerenada
53% · 156 games50% · 213 games
Gyrocopterlou
Gyrocopter
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
43% · 140 games44% · 142 games
Dawnbreakerniu
Dawnbreaker
Night Stalker
Night Stalkerlaise
52% · 84 games53% · 304 games
TinyXm
Tiny
Lion
Lionlupsione
53% · 247 games52% · 66 games
Shadow ShamanPoloson
Shadow Shaman
Elder Titan
Elder TitanSolo
52% · 118 games47% · 20 games
PudgeUndyne_
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 51%
Accuracy by game2 of 2