Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:0
IIRIS_MARINE-2loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Aim Possible
Warlock
Aidar · 3 games
Jakiro
Aidar · 2 games
Slarkoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
rubikon155 · 2 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Aidar · 1 game
Phantom Assassinoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 1 game
IRIS_MARINE-2
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 543 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
345 picks · 657 bans
Storm Spirit
306 picks · 453 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 677 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 230 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 85 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% IRIS_MARINE-2
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Aim Possible
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Aim Possible 57%IRIS_MARINE-2 43%
The model gave 57% on Aim Possible — the game was taken by Aim Possible.
Model check result
Model favoriteAim Possible · 57%
Series resultAim Possible 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1