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RES Regional Champions: Belgrade · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliancewin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Alliance

Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kidaro · 22 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Nande · 20 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
dEsire · 20 games
75%
Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 20 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mo13ei · 19 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mo13ei · 15 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Palantimos · 14 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
Palantimos · 13 games
38%

Infinity Esports

Disruptor
Disruptor
Panda · 11 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Kiri · 8 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 7 games
71%
Techies
Techies
Hyko · 7 games
43%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Costabile · 6 games
83%
Marci
Marcisignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ILICH- · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 295 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 462 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
325 picks · 449 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
323 picks · 216 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
314 picks · 568 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
282 picks · 461 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
265 picks · 373 bans
52%
Luna
Luna
258 picks · 319 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 47%
Hero pool strength54% Alliance
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total51% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:4
Alliance 49%Infinity Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Alliance in 16:18.
Game 2prediction missed23:7
Alliance 49%Infinity Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Alliance in 19:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 51%
Series resultAlliance 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2