BetBoom Universe: Episode I — Comics Zone · BO3
result vs prediction
Alliancewin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
RISE Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Alliance
No games played over 6 months.
RISE Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
462 picks · 307 bans
Tusk
461 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
449 picks · 402 bans
Mirana
330 picks · 327 bans
Treant Protector
314 picks · 366 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 143 bans
Ember Spirit
254 picks · 638 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 606 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% Alliance
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Alliance
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:8
Alliance 69%RISE Esports 31%
The model gave 69% on Alliance — the game was taken by Alliance in 25:56.
Game 2prediction correct37:30
Alliance 69%RISE Esports 31%
The model gave 69% on Alliance — the game was taken by Alliance in 49:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteAlliance · 69%
Series resultAlliance 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2