ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionAalohasquadloss 0:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
alohasquad
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Storm Spiritsignature
young G · 19 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
bashka · 18 games
Marssignature
Covisnine · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
xsvampire · 14 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Covisnine · 13 games
Snapfire
xsvampire · 13 games
Pucksignature
young G · 12 games
Batrideroften banned
xsvampire · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
542 picks · 742 bans
Tusk
486 picks · 348 bans
Dragon Knight
464 picks · 637 bans
Centaur Warrunner
440 picks · 542 bans
Shadow Demon
372 picks · 644 bans
Gyrocopter
359 picks · 551 bans
Mars
345 picks · 463 bans
Hoodwink
343 picks · 152 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:45
alohasquad 26%Nemiga Gaming 74%
The model gave 74% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 35:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 74%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1