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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Anime Enjoyersloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Anime Enjoyers

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Coblackk · 4 games
75%
Marci
Marcioften banned
sunset · 3 games
67%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Coblackk · 2 games
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
sunset · 2 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
sunset · 2 games
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
Ulnit · 2 games
50%
Arc Warden
Arc Warden
Ulnit · 1 game
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
sunset · 1 game
100%

YNT

Sand King
Sand King
Dominic · 9 games
56%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 8 games
25%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
29%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 7 games
29%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
33%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 6 games
50%
Bane
Bane
dSa · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
659 picks · 518 bans
53%
Marci
Marci
473 picks · 709 bans
53%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
438 picks · 611 bans
45%
Puck
Puck
434 picks · 892 bans
54%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
343 picks · 419 bans
55%
Zeus
Zeus
295 picks · 389 bans
44%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
282 picks · 470 bans
52%
Razor
Razor
276 picks · 495 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 51%
Hero pool strength58% Anime Enjoyers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:39
Anime Enjoyers 36%YNT 64%
The model gave 64% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 30:19.
Game 2prediction correct18:34
Anime Enjoyers 36%YNT 64%
The model gave 64% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT in 25:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 64%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2